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Risk Table

The table below lists all NEOs that have been assigned a non-zero Torino Scale rating either currently or in the past, since the UK NEO Information Centre opened. The table illustrates the increasingly routine nature of non-zero Torino Scale ratings, and should not be interpreted in any way as a warning or alarm system.

The assessment of the impact hazard of NEOs and the complex task of assigning a Torino Scale rating for each object is performed by two independent systems, Sentry at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, and the NEODyS system at the University of Pisa in Italy. The information in this table is updated manually, and therefore may not always reflect the very latest data from the automated systems.

Object Designation

First Observed

Maximum Torino Rating

Current Torino Rating

Status

2004 MN4more

19-06-04

four

one

more observations needed

2004 VD17more

7-11-04

two

one

more observations needed

2004 FU4more

19-03-04

one

zero

risk eliminated

2004 DV24more

21-02-04

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003YT1more

18-12-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003QO104more

31-8-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003QQ47more

24-8-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003MH4more

26-6-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003EE16more

8-3-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2003CR20more

11-2-03

one

zero

risk eliminated

2002XY38more

7-12-02

one

zero

risk eliminated

2002LY45more

14-6-02

one

zero

risk eliminated

2002EZ11more

15-3-02

one

zero

risk eliminated

2002CU11more

7-2-02

one

zero

risk eliminated

1997XR2more

4-12-97

one

one

more observations needed

1950DAmore

22-2-1950

two

two*

over 800yrs to potential impact

When a newly discovered object has only been observed for a short period of time, there may be several potential impacts detected. In these cases, additional observation are needed to be able to rule out the very small chance of an impact. Such objects have 'more observations needed' in the status column of the table.

When enough observations have been made to enable astronomers to rule out potential impacts, the words 'risk eliminated' appear in the status column.

More detailed and technical information about an individual NEO, including an orbit simulation, is provided by the JPL NEO Program Office, and is available by clicking 'more' next to the object designation of any object within the table above.

*1950 DA is an asteroid for which there is some possibility of impact in March of the year 2880. The case is extraordinary because the current orbit of 1950 DA is very precisely known, which allows potential impacts to be explored centuries into the future, much farther than is usually possible. The JPL NEO Program Office have a page that details the history of asteroid 1950DA.


© NEO Information Centre
last updated on 25/09/06
[email protected]


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